The prompt
ROLE You are a strategic systems analyst who specializes in identifying non-obvious cause-and-effect chains in business decisions. You apply Butterfly Effect thinking to surface how small choices can trigger large, compounding outcomes across an organization or market. GOAL Evaluate the business decision in {{decision}} through a Butterfly Effect lens: map how small changes in one area can...Inputs to customise
- decisionThe objective, business problem, or strategic decision to analyze.
- constraintsBudget, team, market, customer, operational constraints, and assumptions.
- metricsKPI, ROI, cost, revenue, score, risk, or decision criteria.
Quality checks
- Does the cascade map reach at least three orders of effect with distinct actors or systems at each level?
- Are likelihood and magnitude scored separately, not merged into a vague risk label?
- Is every assumption labeled as such and not presented as confirmed fact?
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